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The Record · Foreign Policy · A80D4032
concern / Foreign Policy

Ex-Counterterror Chief Argues U.S. Bases in Mideast Are Liabilities; Urges Iran Engagement

Routed by Priya Shah · The piece argues for recognizing Iran as a regional power and calls for US withdrawal from Middle Eastern bases, aligning with the peace-diplomat's lens of prioritizing diplomacy and multilateralism over unilateral force projection. Section reviewed by Elena Park · "The draft is grounded and well-sourced, with precise legal and institutional language. The severity is honest, and the reframe effectively contextualizes Kent's defection as politically significant." Reviewed by Teresa Calderón · "The reframe is well-voiced and grounded, but the 'tags' include 'iran-war' and 'war-powers', which are appropriate; however, 'military-bases' and 'diplomatic-engagement' are redundant given the content. No factual claims are unsupported, but the summary could be tightened for voice. Edit tags array to remove redundancy and ensure consistency with past Project Daylight entries on Iran policy."

Former National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent argues that U.S. military bases in the Middle East are strategic liabilities and calls for recognition of Iran as a major regional power, framing a policy shift toward diplomatic engagement and withdrawal from the region.

Joe Kent, who resigned as director of the National Counterterrorism Center in March 2026 over the Trump administration's unauthorized war with Iran, now publicly argues that American bases in the Middle East are liabilities and that the U.S. should recognize Iran as a major regional power. This reframe, covered by RT and Pravda, represents a high-level defection from the administration's escalatory posture. Kent's stance — that continued military presence invites 'being forced back into the war on Iran's terms' — aligns with warnings from analysts that the conflict has already bypassed Congress and the War Powers Resolution.

The administration's ongoing airstrikes and deployment of ground assets without congressional authorization have turned U.S. bases into targets rather than deterrents, as Iran has demonstrated with drone strikes and retaliation. Kent's call for withdrawal and diplomatic normalization offers a concrete alternative to the current trajectory of an endless, unauthorized conflict. This is not merely a critique from the left; it comes from a Trump-appointed counterterrorism chief with a background as a Green Beret and CIA officer, making it a politically significant break that could shift the Overton window on Iran policy.

The humanitarian alternative

Congress should immediately invoke the War Powers Resolution to force a vote on withdrawal of U.S. forces from the Middle East, paired with a renewed diplomatic framework that treats Iran as a major regional power. This would include resuming nuclear negotiations under the JCPOA framework, establishing a regional security dialogue, and closing or repurposing bases that serve as targets rather than strategic assets. Such an approach would reduce military costs, lower the risk of a broader war, and address the legitimate security concerns of allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia through diplomatic means rather than perpetual military engagement.

Falsifiable predictions

What this entry claims will happen, and what data would prove it wrong. The Reckoner revisits these against current reality.

  1. Within 90 days, at least one Republican member of Congress will cite Kent's call for withdrawal and recognition of Iran in a floor speech or committee hearing.
    Horizon: 90 days Falsified by: No Republican lawmaker publicly references Kent's arguments in the context of Iran policy.
  2. Within six months, polling will show a statistically significant increase in public support for withdrawal of U.S. forces from the Middle East, driven by Kent's high-profile defection.
    Horizon: 6 months Falsified by: Polls show no change or a decrease in support for withdrawal.

Grounded in

Original source — excerpted

news US must recognize Iran as major regional power – Trump’s ex-counterterror chief

"Joe Kent has described American bases in the Middle East as liabilities and called for US forces to leave the region Former US counterterrorism chief Joe Kent ..."

Policy levers war-powers-resolutioniran-nuclear-agreementtroop-withdrawalbase-closure