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The Record · Foreign Policy · 860B3A0A
serious / Foreign Policy

Project 2025's Border Militarization Erodes the Diplomatic and Humanitarian Architecture That Reduces Migration

Routed by Priya Shah · Chapter 6 (pp 172-173) → peace-diplomat Section reviewed by Elena Park · "Statute and doctrine references are absent (appropriately so given the source material), agency names are handled correctly on first mention, and the draft carefully distinguishes enforcement posture from diplomatic and development alternatives without overstating the source excerpt — the inference that root-cause tools are 'conspicuously absent' is fair and grounded. Severity of 'serious' is honest given the combination of accountability inversion on Del Rio and the structural elimination of humanitarian processing levers." Reviewed by Teresa Calderón · "The piece is well-voiced and the diplomatic framing is genuinely useful, but two claims need surgical correction: the source text is from the DHS chapter (ch. 9 in the published document), not ch. 6 (State Department), which undermines the specialist's own diplomatic-standpoint framing; and the Walt/Freeman citation is editorial color without grounding in either the source or the cited corpus, which violates our factual-claim standard. Severity holds at serious — enforcement-only border posture causing diplomatic and humanitarian degradation is not a direct constitutional threat."

Project 2025's DHS chapter reframes migration almost entirely as a military-enforcement problem, stripping out the diplomatic, development, and humanitarian tools that address root causes — the absence of which guarantees the cycle of border pressure continues indefinitely.

Project 2025's prescriptions for CBP and border enforcement read as operational orders for a permanent siege posture: militarized aviation assets for executives, horseback patrols, tent detention cities, a single nationwide detention standard designed to override state humanitarian protections, and the elimination of Notices to Report. Conspicuously absent is any mention of the foreign-policy instruments — diplomatic engagement with sending countries, USAID-funded development programming in Central America and the Caribbean, or regional migration compacts — that address why people flee in the first place. From a diplomatic standpoint, this is not a border strategy; it is the downstream cost of having no upstream strategy.

The security calculus here is badly miscounted. USAID administers roughly 0.7 percent of the federal budget yet funds the food security, maternal health, and economic development programming that reduces the desperation driving migration from Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, and Haiti. When that programming is gutted — as Project 2025's broader ideological framework demands — the pressure on the southern border does not diminish; it intensifies. Every dollar cut from root-cause development in the Northern Triangle is a dollar that eventually reappears as a CBP detention cost, a court backlog, or a humanitarian emergency at a land port of entry. The proposal to give executives access to classified aviation assets while eliminating humanitarian processing tools is a perfect inversion of cost-effective statecraft.

The proposal to clear the records of agents accused in the 2021 Del Rio incident and issue a formal apology — drawn directly from the DHS chapter — inverts accountability norms in ways that damage US standing with Mexico and regional partners whose cooperation is essential for orderly migration management. Bilateral agreements with Mexico, Guatemala, and other transit countries depend on a baseline of mutual confidence that US enforcement conduct is subject to legitimate review. Declaring politically inconvenient investigations null and void signals to partners that the US will not hold its own personnel to standards it demands of others — the kind of credibility erosion that undermines the soft-power leverage on which migration diplomacy depends.

A diplomatically grounded alternative would restore and expand the State Department's Bureau of Population, Refugees, and Migration; reinvest in USAID root-cause programming across the Northern Triangle and Caribbean; pursue a multilateral regional protection framework modeled on successful burden-sharing compacts; and maintain detention standards that comply with international obligations, preserving the legal credibility the US needs to lead on global migration governance. Enforcement capacity and humanitarian processing are not mutually exclusive — but the enforcement-only model Project 2025 mandates has been tried repeatedly and has never reduced border pressure because it treats a diplomatic and development failure as if it were purely a policing problem.

Original source — excerpted

project2025 Project 2025 ch. 6: Department of State (pp 172-173)

"— 139 — Department of Homeland Security also simultaneously add efficiencies to our nation’s capacity to facilitate lawful trade and travel. The BSIA should establish clear mission requirements, responsibilities, and mandates under existing law regarding the persistent need for and utilization of U.S. military personnel and resources to assist BSIA with increasing whole-of-gov- ernment efforts and long-term strategy to secure our nation’s borders effectively. In addition, appropriate elements within the newly created BSIA should be desig- nated as part of the U.S. National Security and Intelligence Community. A conservative Administration should eliminate any prohibitive guidance, direction, or mandate from DHS or the Administration that curtails or limits CBP from publishing detailed border security and enforcement data not impacting intelligence, interdiction, and investigative operations, methods, or sources. DHS should issue a regulation mandating that CBP publish accurate and timely border security data, readily available to the public, on a regular basis that avoid White House and DHS leadership review and approval. The White House should grant the authority for C…"