Bill Maher’s California Critique Misreads Mississippi’s Education Success
Bill Maher cited Mississippi’s 2024 top ranking in demographically adjusted 4th- and 8th-grade reading and math scores to question California Democrats’ education policies. The claim, drawn from a Learning Policy Institute blog, does not represent NAEP-adjusted scores but a demographic adjustment. The NAEP 2025 long-term trend release is confirmed for June 10, 2026.
Bill Maher’s argument that California Democrats should learn from Mississippi’s education performance relies on a valid but easily overstated data point. The Learning Policy Institute blog (March 4, 2026) reports that Mississippi held first place in demographically adjusted scores in 4th- and 8th-grade reading and math in 2024. This is not the same as NAEP-adjusted scores; it is a ranking that accounts for student demographics like poverty and race. Maher conflates the two, implying Mississippi’s raw NAEP scores lead the nation when they do not. In reality, Mississippi’s 2024 NAEP fourth-grade reading scores, while historically strong—outscoring the national average for the first time—still trail several other states on raw performance.
The broader danger of Maher’s framing is that it reinforces a false binary between high-spending blue states and efficient red states. The Economic Policy Institute (2025) warns that such narratives feed efforts to defund public education through vouchers and austerity, even as new evidence shows that sustained investment in schools directly boosts student outcomes and adult earnings. Mississippi’s gains came from deliberate, well-funded literacy initiatives, not from cutting public education. The real lesson is not about party labels but about the need for stable, adequate funding—a lesson that applies to both California and Mississippi. As of now, the NAEP 2025 long-term trend results are scheduled for release on June 10, 2026, per the National Assessment Governing Board, giving us an updated national benchmark to assess real progress.
The humanitarian alternative
Rather than abandoning progressive educational goals, California could adopt evidence-based strategies from high-performing states like Mississippi, which focused on early literacy coaching, teacher support, and data-driven interventions without massive funding increases. The federal government could incentivize cross-state learning through competitive grants that reward measurable improvements in student outcomes, particularly for low-income and minority students. This approach respects local control while promoting effective practices grounded in research, not ideology.
Falsifiable predictions
What this entry claims will happen, and what data would prove it wrong. The Reckoner revisits these against current reality.
- California will launch a task force to study and adopt specific early literacy and teacher coaching programs from Mississippi within 12 months.
- The NAEP 2025 long-term trend release in June 2026 will show California's 4th-grade reading scores remaining flat or declining relative to the national average.
Grounded in
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Original source — excerpted
news Bill Maher blasts California's education results, cites two surging red states"NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles! Bill Maher used Friday's "Real Time with Bill Maher" to criticize California Democrats over education and green en..."