The United States Reciprocal Trade Act: A Blunt Tariff Tool That Omits Labor and Environmental Standards
Project 2025’s endorsement of the USRTA promotes reciprocal tariffs as a job-creation mechanism, but independent analyses show negligible trade-balance effects and GDP losses. The proposal omits enforceable labor and environmental standards, risking a race-to-the-bottom that harms the very workers it purports to help.
Project 2025 revives the United States Reciprocal Trade Act (USRTA) as a centerpiece trade-authority expansion, claiming it would create 350,000–380,000 jobs by mirroring foreign tariffs. The job figure originates from a 2019 White House simulation that has been superseded by real-world outcomes: the 2025 reciprocal tariff regime imposed under Executive Order 14257 (using IEEPA authority, not the USRTA itself) raised $38 billion in net revenue but did not meaningfully alter the U.S. trade balance, and the Penn Wharton Budget Model projects a 0.4% long-run GDP reduction from these tariffs. The USRTA legislative framework remains unenacted; a September 2025 Federal Register rule has narrowed the tariff scope, indicating operational limitations. What Project 2025 omits is any requirement for enforceable labor or environmental standards as a precondition for tariff reductions. Without such standards, the reciprocal tariff framework incentivizes trading partners to suppress wages and weaken environmental protections to maintain export competitiveness — the classic race-to-the-bottom. Mexican manufacturing wages remain roughly 40% lower than Chinese manufacturing wages and 88% lower than U.S. wages (2024 OECD data), while roughly 20% of the value of Mexican exports to the United States consists of Chinese content, undermining the goal of supply-chain transparency. A fair-trade alternative would couple targeted, case-specific tariffs with enforceable labor chapters (modeled on the USMCA’s Rapid Response Mechanism) and anti-forced-labor statutes, while investing in domestic industrial policy — including a climate-aligned Export-Import Bank — to build high-road production capacity.
Rollback path — how this gets undone
This action has already been implemented. These are the concrete levers that could reverse it.
- Rescind Executive Order 14257 A future president should issue an executive order rescinding EO 14257, which authorized the reciprocal tariff regime under IEEPA, and direct USTR and Commerce to end tariff actions not tied to enforceable labor/environmental standards.
- Revoke or replace the September 2025 Federal Register rule modifying reciprocal tariff scope The administration should initiate notice-and-comment rulemaking to replace the rule narrowing tariff scope with a framework that ties tariff reductions to verifiable labor and environmental benchmarks.
Reversing it is step one. The forward agenda — what we build so it can’t recur — is in Answers to this entry →
Grounded in
- H.R.735 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): United States Reciprocal Trade Act
- Regulating Imports with a Reciprocal Tariff to Rectify Trade Practices – The White House
- Federal Register: Modifying the Scope of Reciprocal Tariffs and Establishing Procedures for Implementing Trade and Security Agreements
- Presidential Tariff Actions | USTR
- Tracking the Impact of the Trump Tariffs & Trade War - Tax Foundation
- The Economic Effects of President Trump's Tariffs - Penn Wharton Budget Model
- Tracking the Economic Effects of Tariffs - Yale Budget Lab
- A Tariff Issue on Which Free and Fair Traders Can Agree - Prosperous America
Original source — excerpted
project2025 Project 2025 ch. 26: Trade (pp 803-805)"— 770 — Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise in the 141,736 cases in which the U.S. charges the higher tariff, the average U.S. applied rate is only 8.7 percentage points higher than the average applied tariff of the foreign partner. Separately, Communist China levies higher tariffs on 10 products for every one Chinese product that is subject to a U.S.-applied higher tariff.11 India’s ratio is even higher at 13 to one. Further, both Communist China and India also feature significant nontariff barriers. Collectively, these higher nonreciprocal tariffs in Communist China and India block American exporters from selling goods at com- petitive prices to more than one-third of the world’s population. Trade Deficit Impacts of the U.S. Reciprocal Trade Act. Under current United States laws and regulations, an American President has limited ability to fight back against the higher MFN tariffs now being levied against American workers, farmers, ranchers, and manufacturers. Accordingly, behind the WTO’s protective MFN shield, America’s free-riding trading partners have little or no incentive to come to the bargaining table to negotiate lower tariffs. To address this …"