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Louisiana GOP eliminates Black-majority district after Supreme Court strikes down 2024 map in Callais

Routed by Priya Shah · The content focuses on redistricting, which directly relates to Gabriel Thornton's lens of ballot access, election administration, and anti-gerrymandering. Section reviewed by Elena Park · "The draft conflates the Callais holding with a broad weakening of Section 2; edit the title and summary to reflect that the ruling was a racial gerrymander defeat under the Equal Protection Clause, not a direct Section 2 limitation." Reviewed by Teresa Calderón · "Severity should be 'critical'—the map dismantles a Black-majority district, directly threatening Black voting power under Section 2. Title uses 'Supreme Court strikes down' but the ruling was narrower; clarify it struck down the 2024 map, not Section 2. Summary flips 'expected to elect'—NBC says 'likely to elect'—ground that claim."

After the Supreme Court's April 29, 2026, ruling in Louisiana v. Callais held that Louisiana's 2024 map with a second majority-Black district was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander—finding no compelling interest because Section 2 did not require that district—the state's Republican legislature passed a new congressional map on May 29, 2026, dismantling the second Black-opportunity district. The new map is likely to elect five Republicans and one Democrat in a state that is one-third Black.

The correct holding of Louisiana v. Callais (April 29, 2026) is that Louisiana's 2024 map (SB8), which created a second majority-Black district, was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander under the Equal Protection Clause because the state lacked a compelling interest—the Court ruled that Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act did not require the creation of that additional majority-minority district. The decision did not hold that Section 2 no longer prohibits mid-decade redistricting that eliminates majority-minority districts; rather, it narrowed the circumstances under which race can be used to draw such districts, effectively making it harder to use Section 2 as a defense.

The 2024 map was enacted in response to a federal court order following Allen v. Milligan (2023), which upheld Section 2 and required Alabama to create a second majority-Black district. Louisiana's similar map was never a voluntary compliance measure—it was drawn under litigation pressure. After Callais, Louisiana's Republican-controlled legislature moved swiftly on May 29, 2026, to pass a new map that eliminates the second Black-opportunity district, carving a Republican-leaning seat. Per NBC News, the map is expected to elect five Republicans and one Democrat, even though Black residents make up a third of the state's population.

The alternative to this ongoing erosion of Black voting power is clear: Congress must pass the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act to restore preclearance and strengthen Section 2, and states must adopt independent redistricting commissions to ensure fair maps immune to partisan gerrymandering that targets communities of color.

The humanitarian alternative

Congress should restore the full Voting Rights Act by passing the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act, which would require states with a history of racial discrimination to pre-clear new maps with the Department of Justice. In the interim, state legislatures could adopt independent redistricting commissions—like those in California, Colorado, and Michigan—to draw maps using race-neutral criteria such as compactness and respect for existing communities. This would preserve the legitimate goal of ensuring representatives reflect geographic communities while preventing the dilution of minority voting strength.

Falsifiable predictions

What this entry claims will happen, and what data would prove it wrong. The Reckoner revisits these against current reality.

  1. The Louisiana map will be challenged in federal court within 30 days under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.
    Horizon: 30 days Falsified by: No lawsuit is filed within 30 days after the map's effective date.
  2. At least three other states will pass mid-decade redistricting maps before the November 2026 election.
    Horizon: 6 months Falsified by: Fewer than three additional states enact new congressional maps before election day.

Grounded in

Original source — excerpted

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